PAKISTAN · DISTRIBUTED CAUSAL INTELLIGENCE · 1990–2023

CLIMASHOCK

In 2022, Sukkur received +1293% above normal rainfall. Cotton collapsed −37.7%. Inflation peaked at 30.8% in 2023. Nobody had quantified this cascade — until now.

3-node parallel architecture · Granger causal discovery · LSTM + XGBoost ensemble

0
YEARS OF DATA
0
DISTRICTS
0
CAUSAL LINKS
0%
LSTM ACCURACY
0
PARALLEL NODES
HOW TO USE CLIMASHOCK — 3 SIMPLE STEPS
01
📍
Select Your District
Choose any of 10 major Pakistan districts — from Sukkur to Islamabad. Each has its own climate baseline built from 34 years of NASA data.
02
🌧️
Enter Today's Climate
Enter today's rainfall (mm/day) and temperature (°C). Not sure? Use one of our pre-filled examples including the 2022 Sukkur flood event.
03
⚡
Get Future Cascade
The system predicts: crop yield impact in 4–8 weeks, inflation pressure in 6–18 months, and GDP direction in 1–2 years — all from one reading.
USED BY:
🏛️NDMA Officers
🌾Agricultural Ministry
📊Insurance Analysts
🔬Climate Researchers
⚖️Policy Makers
📰Journalists
CASCADE PREDICTION ENGINE v1.0
LSTM + XGBoost Ensemble · MAE 3.13%
QUICK EXAMPLES — CLICK TO TRY
▼
SYSTEM STATUS
APICONNECTING
LSTM MODELLOADED
XGB MODELLOADED
CAUSAL GRAPH21 LINKS
DISTRICTS10 / 10
DATA RANGE1990–2023
MODEL ACCURACY
LSTM Inflation2.87%
XGBoost Inflation3.19%
Ensemble3.13%
District Average4.42%
2022 BACK-TEST — VERIFIED ✓
Predicted inflation26.0%
Actual 202330.8%
Error4.8%
GDP directionCorrect ✓
Actual GDP 2023−0.41%
PARALLEL NODES — VERIFIED
Node 1 PID798
Node 2 PID799
Node 3 PID800
Total time0.076s
GPU training47.3s
PlatformTesla T4
2.87%
LSTM Inflation MAE
4.8%
2022 Back-test Error
Correct
GDP Direction
21
Causal Links Found
47.3s
Training Time (GPU)
3
Parallel PIDs
10
District Models